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YESNO.EVENTS

Prediction market intelligence terminal. Three specialized modes -- General, Elon, War/Peace -- each with AI analysis, quant models, and cross-system reasoning across 2,500+ live Polymarket events.

2,500+

Live Markets

Quant Models

Terminal Modes

MCP Tools

See It In Action

2,500+ Markets

11 Signal Sources

9 Quant Models

7 Panels

Three Modes, One Terminal

GENERAL

Market Intelligence

Full-spectrum terminal for all 2,500+ Polymarket events. 7 panels covering markets, depth, whale flow, AI analysis, sectors, intel, and signals.

7 panels / 9 quant models
3-tier AI (Scout / Analyst / Strategist)
$500+ whale trade tracking
9 sector heatmaps

ELON

Tweet Bracket Trading

Dedicated terminal for Elon Musk tweet count bracket markets on Polymarket. Tracks posting velocity, mood, brand impact, and bracket probabilities.

Live tweet tracking (3-tier fetch)
11 chart types / 3D probability
6 mood categories
Kelly + Monte Carlo sizing

WAR/PEACE

Geopolitical Risk Index

Conflict intelligence terminal. Academic GPR index (Caldara-Iacoviello), 14 regional threat scores, commodity correlation, and Manifold market integration.

5 data sources (GDELT, NewsAPI, etc.)
14 geographic regions tracked
5 commodities correlated
8 GPR threat categories

Intelligence Stack

AI ANALYSIS

3-Tier Reasoning

Every market gets news-enriched AI analysis. Scout (Gemini Flash) for fast scans, Analyst (Claude Haiku) for depth, Strategist (Claude Sonnet) for deep conviction calls. Sources are relevance-filtered and fact-checked against the market question -- no semantic games, no clickbait citations.

QUANT MODELS

9 Models, Client-Side

Kelly criterion for position sizing, Monte Carlo (5K simulations), expected value scoring, theta decay curves, bias zone detection, taker cost analysis, composite probability, calibration, and structural edge from 400M+ historical trades. All computed in your browser in real time.

WHALE FLOW

Large Trade Tracking

Every trade above $500 captured in real time. Filter by size ($250 / $1K / $5K / $10K+), side (buy/sell), and sector. Top trader leaderboard by P&L. Whale accumulation and distribution signals feed directly into market analysis.

ENRICHED SIGNALS

9 Signal Categories

Momentum (7d/30d/90d), volume trend, whale sentiment, holder conviction (HHI), lifecycle stage, volume-price divergence, buy pressure, holder rotation, and smart money synthesis. Computed from on-chain data, not opinions.

Cross-System Intelligence

Elon Mood --> Feeds into market analysis for Elon/Tesla/SpaceX/xAI-related markets. Mood distribution (6 types) updates hourly.

GPR Index --> Geopolitical Risk score injects into all geopolitics and politics sector analysis. 14 regional threat breakdowns, 8 threat categories.

Commodities --> WTI, Brent, Natural Gas, Wheat, Copper prices track conflict correlation. Real prices from Alpha Vantage, updated every 12h.

Whale Flow --> $1K+ trades surface accumulation/distribution patterns. Smart money alignment confirmed when whale flow matches momentum direction.

Each terminal mode contributes intelligence that enriches analysis across the entire platform.

Get Access

Create an account to access AI analysis and market intelligence.

Daily Booster Pack

YESNO

AI Predictions

CLICK TO OPEN

DAILY AI PICKS

Free daily booster pack -- 5 AI-scored prediction picks from live Polymarket events. Each card carries quant signals, fair value estimation, edge calculation, Kelly sizing, and Monte Carlo win probability. Picks resolve with real market outcomes.

For Developers

MCP

Model Context Protocol

11-tool MCP server. Connect any AI agent to live prediction market intelligence -- market lookup, AI analysis, whale flow, enriched signals, sector data. API credits required.

API

REST API

Full REST API for programmatic access. Market data, AI analysis, whale tracking, enriched signals. Rate-limited per tier. API keys managed from your account dashboard.